I
am an optimist, but can't help noticing that disappointment
follows every great invention. For a while. As athletes say,
"no pain, no gain". The eHealth highway has its own
detours and potholes, but we are compelled by circumstances and
opportunities to travel upon it.
We
humans are gullible innocents. Over the past several decades we
came to expect a cure for cancer, theories that would explain the
mysteries of the Universe, solar powered homes, supersonic travel,
the paperless office, and Telemedicine.
Some
surprises were encountered. Cancer proved to be many diseases with
differing and complex causes. Shrödinger's cat still threatens
the Quantum mouse. "Free" solar power comes at a dear
price. The exorbitant Concorde was, and still is, the only
supersonic game in town. The mills continue to churn out paper by
the thousands of tons, and please, don't get me started on
Telemedicine...or the Internet!
Like
I said, I am an optimist. There are cures for some cancers, CD ROM
technology is a successful application of Quantum physics, and so
on. Our reach often exceeds our grasp, but we are as stubborn as
we are gullible. We learn from our mishaps and progress is made.
We become efficient.
Gene
Therapy is a fascinating example of the sweet promise of a
revolutionary technology, as well as the bitter taste of tragedy
and disappointment. The first death caused by a gene therapy
experiment occurred on September 17th of 1999, and
reality was frigid water. Still, there are several dozens of gene
therapy protocols in use today, and so much has been and is being
learned.
Bioinformatics
is the merging of two disruptive technologies...information
technology and molecular biology. It is eHealth on a Micro level.
With estimates of the numbers of unique human genes differing
wildly between greatly respected centers of research, one has to
wonder how close we really are to sorting out the human genome.
Bioinformatics is helping us to sort out the vast complexities of
the Genome and Proteome. We are finding that the Genome itself
does not explain who we are. Genes express themselves a little
differently from species to species, and indeed, from person to
person. Genome browsers and data mining help us to make sense of
something far too complex for us to otherwise understand.
In
a sense, we invest in loss with every disruptive technology. If we
were to sum up the costs and benefits of Telemedicine, I am not so
sure that we have yet recouped our investment. That is not so much
a criticism of Telemedicine, as a realistic assessment of how long
it takes for a technology to mature.
We
may at times find the setbacks and disappointments we have
experienced daunting, but we have no choice but to be brave. We
are living in the Imagination age, where the real capital will be
created by making our wildest dreams happen. In Quebec, Nexia
Biotechnology has created a herd of transgenic Goats that create
spider silk for commercial purposes. The North Carolina State
University Mars Research Centre is developing a range of crops
with biotransmitters and receivers that will allow humans to
communicate with and care for crops at a great distance...between
Earth and Mars. Will the complexity of our own DNA need to be
increased to keep pace with the changes we are making to
everything around us? Perhaps the present situation should be
called "Applied Science Fiction".
It
is necessary for us to adopt the Beginner's Mind, in order to free
ourselves of limitations that don't really exist. A small child
believes that everything is possible. They are right. The seed of
genius is the premise that all things are possible. Let's continue
to conduct experiments and make mistakes, and dream about the
possibilities while commiserating over our failures. After all,
the "e" in eHealth is as much about "emerging"
as it is about "electronic". It will never stand for
"easy" [see additional
file 1].
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